October 20, 2006: The birth of one human being in
today's overpopulated world is normally nothing noteworthy.
This week was an exception, though, as the population of the
United States of America reached the 300 million mark.
The United States currently has the third highest population
in the world, following the People's Republic of China and
India. America's population growth is the result of immigration
and a higher birth rate than in Western Europe. Every 11
seconds America adds a new citizen. The trend in nearly all
industrialized countries is just the opposite. In terms of its
birth rate, for example, Germany, ranks 185th out of 190
countries.
A comparison of population trends in Europe and the United
States reveals some striking differences and changes. Just some
50 years ago there were only half as many Americans (150
million) as Western Europeans (300 million). In another 50
years it could well be the case that this numerical
relationship will have been completely reversed. America's
population growth also ensures a growing domestic market, an
important factor for a country whose economy relies on imports
for less than 10 percent of its total economic output. Europe's
shrinking population lessens domestic demand and makes Europe
more dependent on exports. One third of Germany's economic
output is tied directly to exports.
Western Europe and the United States are drifting apart, and
the population growth rate in both regions reflects a changing
societal structure. More and more tax revenue in Western Europe
will be needed to fund pension systems and healthcare for an
aging population. By contrast, America's birth rate ensures a
continual rejuvenation of its society. The British weekly "The
Economist" predicts that in a few decades the average age of an
American will be some 36 years, compared to an average age for
a European of 52 years.
An aging society tends to want to preserve its status quo,
while a younger society is generally more willing to take
risks. Is it possible that, to some extent, the recent drift
between European and American interests – Iraq, trade
disputes and environmental protection issues – is a
reflection of the age difference and the corresponding outlook
on life between European and American society?
How will Europe be able to defend its interests vis-a-vis a
growing United States of America in the future? Some adjustment
in population growth appears to be needed, either by promoting
more children being born, or by expansion of immigration and
even extending the European Union further eastward. Turkey's
birth rate, for example, is more than double that of
Germany.